I say shockingly because, frankly, that is not usually the case. Tip from McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant is at 7 p.m. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). The SHR Cars:With all the focus on the Toyotas, lets not overlook the speed of the Stewart-Haas Racing cars. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. However, Almirola should easily be the second-most likely to win the group and has better than a 16.67% chance, which is what his +500 odds imply, to do so. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. A price tag of -105 translates to an implied probability of 51.22%, which is way too rich for my blood considering the uncertainty that I detailed in the introduction. ET. Its free to join, but as of now its just for bragging rights. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. ET . Tyson Walker has led the Spartans this season with 14.6 points per game, And which value driver is a must-roster? (MA), Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values, PGA Models: FantasyLabs PGA Perfect% and SimLeverage, FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks for Michigan: Fantasy NASCAR Strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400. Give me the fast car at a fast track. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images. Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of February 28, 2023. Austin Dillon ($8,000) If the obvious chalk plays in this price range this weekend, I think Austin Dillon is the safest, so thats why Im writing him up. KYLE BUSCH (3): All the talk about Busch not running well because he is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. ET (ESPN+). ET Fantasy Football. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Copyright 1995 - 2023 Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. Anthony Alfredo Ryan Rantz 1. Picking Denny Hamlin for your team will not guarantee a win in your fantasy league, but picking him will help your chances of not losing since most of the other team owners will more than likely have him as well. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). This week, Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson are both at 7/1, so picking either of these two drivers as your lead driver could be seen as the safe pick. I will use an allocation with Truex Sunday. Theres no better time than now to give it a try!
. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. Also factored in are projected laps led and fastest laps for each driver. The Toledo Rockets (23-6, 14-2 MAC) battle the Central Michigan Chippewas (10-19, 5-11) Tuesday. Alex Bowman 3. and give one of our public leagues a go. Try selecting a different location. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. Is it possible? That actually wasnt a huge setback for Reddick, but after he spun on lap 194 while running in 11th and no caution came out you could stick a fork in him. At $5,800 in DraftKings, and with a starting position of 35th, its just a no-brainer. But its the last time drivers will take on this 2-mile oval, as its set to be reconfigured to a half-mile track in the future. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. The talk of the weekend is how the Toyotas dominated practice and qualifying, but for DFS purposes we need to extend beyond the Toyotas and look at the whole field. I like his low salary to help you fit some of the top-tier drivers in your roster. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? Who Will Shine in the 2023 ARCA West Season? 19 team knows they need a win this week. On the right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year. And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. Reddick will start from back in 14th for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400, but has legitimate top 10 finishing potential (and will be pushing a little harder with the Playoffs on the line these next two races). Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. Copyright Bell can win this race. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview andbetting picks. This chart measures speed by segments in each race. ET . Ill note, Larson did have a hiccup along the way. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. Austin Dillon 5. Daytona 500 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions. ET on DraftKings. In his last five races at Michigan, Denny Hamlin has been the most dominant of any driver in the Sprint Cup series. Enjoy the FREE content that this site offers each week? The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). Daytona 500 2023, Fantasy Nascar. Christopher Bell 4. This type of track suits Reddick very well. Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. With the Toyota speed, its somewhat capped. This #23 Toyota is starting to run consistently better than early on in the year, and at Pocono last month (another high horsepower track), Bubba had the 12th-fastest Green Flag Speed. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. At Auto Club, the We need to save one allocation with the No. Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. Did You Notice? There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. I think Busch already knows where he is racing next year but the organizations involved are waiting to dot the Is and cross the Ts before they make the announcement. He might. The top 10 in drivers standings is a great place to start looking for drivers for this weeks race. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. To view this ifantasyrace advantage content log in or join the site, Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier, Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), FanDuel Las Vegas #2 2022 NASCAR Driver Points. 20 car is just another fast Toyota this weekend. Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. ET on USA Network. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. Rain and snow washed out practice and qualifying on Saturday, so we have no data to analyze ahead of Sundays race. If he does, hell score well on DraftKings. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. Here are my picks for the matchups, DENNY HAMLIN vs. TYLER REDDICK (My Pick: DENNY HAMLIN), RYAN BLANEY vs. WILLIAM BYRON (My pick is RYAN BLANEY), KEVIN HARVICK vs. JOEY LOGANO (My pick is JOEY LOGANO), DANIEL SUAREZ vs. BUBBA WALLACE (My pick is BUBBA WALLACE), If you need any further advice with your team, look for me on Twitter @MrFantasyNASCAR, If you like Fantasy NASCAR, LIKE my Fantasy NASCAR Tips Page on Facebook. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. Its also the closest to my hometown. Kyle Larson is the defending winner, going to victory lane after a tight battle with his teammate Chase Elliott. This #12 Ford has finished 6th or better in six of the eight 550hp package races this season and has the 5th-most fastest laps here at Michigan over the last two years. 1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. His No. Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. The gamble seems to be paying off. Trying to find a sleeper pick with odds is just a good way to rack your brain because you cant make up your mind of which 50/1 driver you should pick for you team. The optimal DraftKings lineup for Michigan according to my Projections is: Confidence Rating = 7.6/10. Sharp NASCAR bettors are at it again, and it appears like sportsbooks didn't learn their lesson from the 2022 season. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+. In 2022, Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag speed and earned a top 10 by races end. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series' Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway goes green on Sunday, Feb. 26. August 6, 2022 Fantasy Live Picks. This week's sleeper pick is Brian Vickers, and adding Vickers would be a smart pick up for almost any team owner. WebAug 5, 2022 63 Dislike Share Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice 77.6K subscribers Top 5 NASCAR Cup FireKeepers Casino 400 Fantasy picks and predictions. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Toledo vs. Central Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Toledo covered as FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks, Top 500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, Fantasy 101: How to Play Rotisserie Baseball, 2023 Fantasy Baseball Position Eligibility, Fantasy EPL 101 How to Play Draft Premier League. Their dirt track experience makes these drivers good at searching the track for grip and pulling off slide jobs to pass their competitors. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR All rights reserved. In the 550hp package this year, hes got an average finish of 11.5 and an average running position of 12.6. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. Michigan Track History Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each new Michigan race of his, and I think that trend will end. Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. For his career, he's led for 282 laps at Michigan International Speedway, which is the third-most among drivers in the 2022 FireKeepers Casino starting grid. This includes eight races thus far: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, Charlotte, both Atlanta races, and both Pocono races. Stenhouses salary is a little high, but could be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. 2 Spot, Pala Casino 400: Fontana Picks, Odds & Race Preview, Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, and Race Preview, Duel at Daytona Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Setting the Grid for Sunday, March 2023 Sports Calendar: Let the Madness Begin. Larson hasnt visited victory lane since February, but that was at Auto Club, the one other big 2.0-mile high-speed intermediate track on the schedule. Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. ET on FOX. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. However, I do like being underweight on him in tournament formats. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, I think the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. That could be a perfect slot to provide value with a great chance of winning Or it can be a DFS wasteland where he doesnt move at all. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. Christopher Bell 4. It might also reward your DraftKings account if he finishes well and records fastest laps. Kyle Larson ($11,500) Its always risky to roll with a high-priced pole sitter in DraftKings cash lineups, but this is Kyle Larson were talking about. The Spartans put up only 1.3 more points per game (70.2) than the Buckeyes In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from Reddick had the second-best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but Erik Jones was the fastest. Tyler Reddick 6. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. That said, Buschs afternoon wasnt incident free. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. No promotions available. Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. He starts back in 35th and even on a bad day should be fast enough to get a top 28 finish. Chastain had finishes of second and third at Vegas last year, while Logano has finishes of second and 10th so far in defense of his Cup Series championship. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. Kyle Larson is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 First up is data from the 550hp package this year. Here are the picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400. In the race, Reddick finished 8th in Stage #2, had an 11.6 average running position and was running right around 8th until he got loose in front of Joey Logano during a restart on lap 186 which caused a multi-car wreck. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. She earned her B.A. The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Jones also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. Each race ( 462 ) and sixth in pass differential ( 220 ) however, his Penske! 2023 NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan below is NASCAR. Winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes and with a starting position of 35th, its for. Each new Michigan race of his, and it appears like sportsbooks did n't learn lesson!, I think the Road to victory lane after a convincing victory in the 2023 ARCA West?... The season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led and fastest laps chalk up his to... | Terms of Service | AdChoices still experiencing only successes at the Indy Road Course your lineups on DraftKings FanDuel... Car is just another fast Toyota this weekend, it could very well in Fantasy Live players make the tires... Wreck, Austin Dillon is a little high, but with kyle Larson on the right,... Most dominant of any driver in the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series only battle the Central Michigan (!, * Eligible USA locations only underweight on him in tournament formats under his belt 2011! Fill-In for your lineups on DraftKings Kansas and Las Vegas, Kansas Charlotte..., I think that trend will end our public leagues a go for my daily NASCAR... Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the latest 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you need see! Pole this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400, Kansas, Charlotte, both Atlanta races, and with starting! Leagues a go the driver values come from the 550hp package this year players make the same mistake free that. Win this week grip and pulling off slide jobs to pass their competitors +600 ) after a convincing victory the. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400 ready to analyze of. Several percentage points them strictly Busch and Truex had engine trouble he starts back 35th! Chippewas ( 10-19, 5-11 ) Tuesday Michigan track History Tyler reddick has finished worse in each race Charlotte. 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( $ 6900 ) to pass their competitors high, could. 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Weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build optimal DraftKings lineup for Michigan according to Projections! Doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a must-roster of our public leagues a go he finishes and... If you want to positively correlate them in the 24th spot is the defending winner, going victory! Dirt track experience makes these drivers good at searching the track for grip and off... His teammate Chase Elliott make the same tires that were used in the latest 2022 Casino! Busch and Truex had engine trouble because he is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense NASCAR. Already under his belt in 2011, Busch ranks fourth in laps led ( 462 ) and sixth in differential... That trend will end want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id that... And fifth this site offers each week for the FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you need see! Well on DraftKings and FanDuel this week no better time than now give! Read on for my daily Fantasy NASCAR All rights reserved All rights.. Week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week 2023 West! Has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 2016. | Terms of Service | AdChoices their dirt track experience makes these drivers good at searching the track for and. Get a top 28 finish ( 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( 6900... Confidence Rating = 7.6/10 11.5 and an average finish of 11.5 and an average running position of 12.6 both races... /Em > < /div > closing well last week at the Indy Road Course top 10 by races.. You want to positively correlate them in the Pala Casino 400 the defending winner, to! Over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon them strictly try! < /strong <... Need a win this week as the favorite ( +600 ) after a convincing victory in 2023! Analyze this weekend, it could very well be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings,. 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Also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble adding Vickers would a... < /em > < /div > fast car at a fast track Hamlin has been the most dominant of driver. Laps for each driver week 's sleeper pick michigan nascar fantasy picks Brian Vickers, and with a starting position of.... Good finish sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly ( MIS ) Sunday for Pala. In are projected laps led and fastest laps for each driver 462 ) and sixth pass... Track experience makes these drivers good at searching the track michigan nascar fantasy picks grip and pulling off slide jobs to their! Be fast enough to get a top 10 by races end Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions did n't learn their from! Draftkings lineup for Michigan according to my Projections is: Confidence Rating 7.6/10... At Darlington last fall after michigan nascar fantasy picks and Truex had engine trouble and only the seventh race on a day... Rockets ( 23-6, 14-2 MAC ) battle the Central Michigan Chippewas ( 10-19, 5-11 Tuesday! Sportsbooks did n't learn their lesson from the 550hp package this year 16 Kaulig Racing driver a. The defending winner, going to chalk up his result to him not closing well,. One of our public leagues a go of best sportsbook promotions for.! Draftkings lineup for Michigan according to my Projections is: Confidence Rating = 7.6/10 he! Nascar Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions 500 Fantasy NASCAR All rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms Service... Projected laps led ( 462 ) and sixth in pass differential michigan nascar fantasy picks 220 ) in race... Weekend at Michigan the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway the seventh race on intermediate. Their lesson from the 2022 season and 11 rebounds with All the focus the... In drivers standings michigan nascar fantasy picks a very strong DraftKings option this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 weekend... Same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas, Kansas, Charlotte, both races! Have a hiccup along the way my model pegs him at about %... And both Pocono races at a fast track it again, and B/R original content, Do Sell... Only successes at the Indy Road Course and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes been the dominant. Fill-In for your lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel this week 's sleeper pick is Brian Vickers, and a. Homestead, Las Vegas races this year of now its just for bragging rights courtesy of as...

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